Bayesian Prediction for Stochastic Processes

نویسنده

  • DELPHINE BLANKE
چکیده

In this paper, we adopt a Bayesian point of view for predicting real stochastic processes. We give two equivalent definition of a Bayesian predictor and study some properties: admissibility, prediction sufficiency, unbiasedness, comparison with efficient predictors. Prediction of Poisson process and prediction of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process in the continuous and sampled situations are considered. Various simulations illustrate comparison with non-Bayesian predictors.

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تاریخ انتشار 2012